Its a hard call.
Adesenya got schooled by Dwarf gastelum in the early round, when Israel is not at his best when he is pressure. Silva did no pressure against him, gastelum did some and got succes. Robert always go forward, Israel will always be on his back foot where he is not efficient. Adesenya is a snipper who like distance and slow pace fight. Witthaker on the other hand always pressure his opponents.
Lets be honest Israel doenst have the knock-out power as Romero did against Robert, and even then Robert survive it.
If Robert manage to keep Adesenya on the fence and always backing up, its a win for Robert.
If Israel manage to keep his distance from the constance pressure of Robert and snipe him with some jab and kicks he might get the win.
But the last fight from Israel vs Gastelum MMmmmmm, because of that fight Alone, i think Robert and a lot of fighter know that Adesenya doesnt like to backup and be pressure. So Robert gonna win this