I'm starting to think that world war3 it's gonna start undershortly, why?:
- south china sea, I mean it's a miracle nothing has happen yet... and it's extremely clear that no one wants to back up
- so what's different now? China continues to poke everyone around it very "unprofessionally" as they did before, they also released a freaking virus (not debating lab vs non lab, or how truthful they were, they fucked up either way) on the world, so you know the world was already pretty crappy and other nations "endured" their harassment and all that, you know. For example, you're a good pilot with good values and training, but your wife and kids are dead because of covid-19 and a Chinese jet fighter is pocking you, might not be able to control your self as before.... shit will happen, as mentioned China fucked big, there will be consequences....
- Russia and Ukraine war, also Russia in general, they're pocking EU/ and the states,
- what scares me more now is the US President, and weakness of the EU, it's obvious that Putin doesn't take Biden as a serious leader (please no left/right or dt talk). Now, that might not be the case, and his handlers might not, so if Putin miscalculates and pushes too much thinking Biden will do nothing, might be suprised and than he might have to reply
- Middle East -> Do I need to say more....
So Russia + China (probably with Pakistan, India with the other party if they decide to fight, but I mean they're just looking for a reason...) + I guess some other nations like Venezuela or whatever... not the major players there
On the other side, States with EU and probably most allies around China....
What will happen?
- Will start with conventional war, unless a very good strategy, the states could squash China and Russia by themselves..., there wont be much of a challenge with their allies at their side, so they'll use minimal resources at the beginning you know using their old stuff, so it wont be a complete squash, but they'll push back, they'll probably need to take out some of their new toys in regards to China....
- Seeing they're losing the War, there is no doubt that Russia will start to use tactical nuclear bombs, meaning low yeld, this will create lots of losses on the US/EU side, so now they'll hit them with all they got being conventional and they're own tactical nuclear bombs, at this point Russia has 3 choices, Continue the war as is and be defeated, surrender, launch strategic nuclear bombs
- If they go with the strategic nuclear bombs, won't probably launch against the US, but an EU important City, hopping it would allow them to negotiate a cease fire in a better position, hopping the others wont risk a full out nuclear war with them and destroy the planet, from here there are way too many things that can happen, but I guess the targeted country if it has nukes it will launch his own and might have a showdown between EU and RU, or with the US, in theory I would hope they would stop before the whole planet is into pieces, in theory they should as a dead planet isn't good for anyone....
what about us?
- well all depending how much the US actually cares... which I'm guessing not much... The Russians have build up quite nicely their army in the North, they'll need to go through us to get to the US, so yeah besides risk of conventional war coming to us, having a few strategic nuclear bombs being dropped on us wouldn't be completely impossible.... either and what sucks the most is that we don't really have any way of intercepting them.... meaning we'll be really screwed as 1 nuclear bomb actually has many war heads as it's expected a few of them to be intercepted (some being duds obviously), so in our case they'll all detonate, so it won't be like oh it's just an atomic bomb no stress, it will blow up downtown montreal and the rest will be fine... euh... no, it will completely clean-up the island and everything around it, as those war heads will are able to target each a city....or part of a big city... oh yeah did I forgot to mention that the fuckers will detonate them at ground level so to make it inhabitable, as they're powerful enough to create a lot of damage anyway no need to detonate them at higher altitude....
really not sure why I just posted the above.. hope I'm wrong