Fermez les frontières, un nouveau virus apparaît: La COVID-19

Caliss on quitte le thread 40 minutes...40 posts a lire...c'est lourd a suivre

Envoyé de mon SM-A520W en utilisant Tapatalk
 
En quoi ça donne de cesser l'école, si une grande majorité d'entre eux ont resté chez eux pendant prêt de 10 jours et qu'ils sont asymptomatique?

Ca veut aucunement dire ca? Rester a a maison avec un 2 adultes qui voyagent, rencontre du peuple etc. Dans une semaine je recontre genre 50 personnes juste pour la job. Si c est pas plus, si j avais des kids je les exposerait a ca.
 
United States predictions / actual model:

March 5: 201
March 6: 271
March 7: 366
March 8: 494
March 9: 667
March 10: 900
March 11: 1,215
March 12: 1,640
March 13: 2,214
March 14: 2,989
March 15: 4,035
March 16: 5,447
March 17: 7,353
March 18: 9,926
March 19: 13,400
March 20: 18,090
March 21: 24,421
March 22: 32,968
March 23: 44,496
March 24: 60,070
March 25: 81,094
March 26: 109,477
March 27: 147,794
March 28: 199,522
March 29: 269,355
March 30: 363,629
March 31: 490,899
April 1: 662,714




Italy:

https://i.imgur.com/1QWXz7U.png



Maths are awesome.

fbd.jpg
 
Vos collègues qui reviennent de voyage doivent rester à la maison 14jrs.

C'est une directive à suivre.

Lâche pas Danielle! Jveux aller à Cubo!

89808526_117793786488737_7187734821915852800_o.jpg
 
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...th-rates-are-not-what-they-seem-idUSKBN20Z281

"Calculating mortality rates during a disease epidemic is fraught with pitfalls.

This is in part because the numbers of deaths and patients constantly change. In part it’s because not every single case will be detected - some will be so mild they never get noticed. And in part it’s because there can be a significant time lag between when someone is infected and when or if they die.

What you can safely say is that if you divide the number of reported deaths by the number of reported cases, you will almost certainly get the wrong answer,” said John Edmunds, a professor at the center for mathematical modeling of infectious diseases at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine.

That’s why World Health Organization (WHO) officials - who said last week that 3.4% of the people worldwide confirmed as having been infected with the new coronavirus had died - were careful not to describe that as a mortality rate or death rate.

In an unfolding epidemic, it can be misleading to look at the naïve estimate of deaths so far divided by cases so far,” said Christl Donnelly, a disease specialist at Oxford University and Imperial College London. “This is due to the delay from the time it takes for individuals to progress from being diagnosed as cases to dying.” "
 
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