Were just looking at different numbers, the hopkins map shows 62 cases, 2 death, 0 recovered.
I’m ok with 50% based on your numbers, like your video says «*it all comes down to understanding the causality involded to understand the situation at end*», understand the context in which the statement is being said. In this case having 50% of the closed cased resulting in death is true, while being irrelevant considering it represent like 3% of the results to come.
My point is we should only look at closed case in order to draw death rate conclusions. Obviously the less closed case the less relevant it is, but it’s still what you want a look at to get a true representation of the current situation.
The most simple example I can give is the following : Let’s say we were at 78k confirmed cases just like now, but with 780 closed cases to make it simple (1%). Now let’s say all 780 closed cases were death, not a single recovered. The way the stats are shown to us right now, you would hear from the medias «*No worries, it’s just a 1% death rate so far*», can you understand how this is total bullshit? Basing the stats on a population that is 99% incomplete is speculation, my example is the EXACT same thing shown to us right now except the the death rate whithin closed cases is 11% so far so it isn’t as obvious that the claimed 2% is bullshit...
Switch the closed case death rate to 100% right now, and every single person on earth would panic and agree with me that basing the death rate exclusively on closed cases is the way to go, even if it would still represent 2% of confirmed cases.
